What
is your client’s true risk tolerance? One of the most useful ways to gain a
better understanding of a client is to better understand how environmental
factors and stressors will affect their response behavior.
Blaise Pascal, a
17th century mathematical genius, discovered “uncertainty is about people, their beliefs and their courage, while
calculated risk is based on information, knowledge and credible scenarios.
Together, with his colleague, Pierre de Fermat, he came to the conclusion that
people are naturally risk averse.”1 Unfortunately, many investors have a distorted perception of the risk they are taking on.
Over the last
decade, the study of investor behavior has become a growing subject of interest among university researchers. In an effort to provide due diligence in client
asset allocation, many major financial institutions have created written
suitability questionnaires, to include such information as investment experience,
time horizon, liquidity needs, risk tolerance, other holdings, financial
situation, tax status, and investment objectives. But still clients complain
and seek litigation for money lost during market volatility even when the
written risk assessment concludes that they should be able to tolerate the
prescribed level of volatility. Could we be living in an environment where
short written assessments yielding Conservative, Moderate, or Aggressive are
not good enough?
Even
if the client has all of the information and knowledge before investing, “…it won’t help much unless the investor
really and truly understands the amount of money they stand to lose, the
probability that this
will occur, and the personal or psychological effects
this loss may cause.”2 Maybe instead of talking about
losses in percentages, we should talk in real dollars. Most risk tolerance
questions ask, “Mr. Client, if your investment declined 5% in six months, would
you be able to tolerate that?” Now change your question to, “Mr. Client, if you
invested $1,000,000 and the market declined resulting in a $50,000 loss, would
you be able to tolerate that?” Now watch their risk tolerance change in a
heartbeat. Maybe the client is telling you they really don’t want to lose any
money at all.
Today, many
fixed index annuities offer time horizons as short as 5 and 6 years, no negative annual returns, liberal liquidity options and principle guarantees. If you know
that your client seeks safety and guarantees, why take the risk to unnecessarily
expose your client to market volatility? By using simple logic and asking the
right questions, you can help your client determine their true risk tolerance.
Today,
it’s truly better to... KNOW THY CLIENT.
1Brian Bloch, “Using Logic to
Examine Risk”, Investopedia, July 23, 2011;
2Brian Bloch, “Using Logic to
Examine Risk”, Investopedia, July 23, 2011
No comments:
Post a Comment